Readiness gauge
A single number that says whether you should sit the exam yet. I keep it honest.
What the gauge shows
The Readiness tab opens with one big number — your readiness score from 0 to 100 — and a thin bar that fills against the Target 80% mark. Below it sits your schedule pill (On track, Slightly behind, At risk, Off track) and your current streak.
The number is colored:
- Red below 40 — you have foundational gaps I haven't closed yet.
- Amber 40 to 70 — you're moving, but you're not exam-safe.
- Green 70 and above — you're in striking distance of 80.
The Demo Test unlocks at 60. The Gauntlet unlocks at 80. I won't sign off the pass guarantee below 80.
How I compute it
Your score is the weighted blend of three signals:
- Live domain mastery — running accuracy per domain across every session, weighted by the certification's official domain weights. This is the dominant input.
- Mock test results — full-length mock tests anchor your score against real exam pacing. A mock pulls the score harder than a single practice session.
- Cognitive errors — every unresolved error of type MISCONCEPTION, CONFUSION, ATTENTION, or KNOWLEDGE_GAP suppresses your score until you clear it from the error dashboard.
Two derived numbers ride on top of readiness:
- Pass probability — a clamped projection: roughly
(readiness − 40) × 1.5, capped at 99. At 80 readiness you sit near 60 percent pass probability; the curve climbs sharply after that. - Predicted ready-date — a velocity projection from your last 14 days of sessions. If you've finished fewer than 3 sessions I fall back to the roadmap's estimated completion date. The projection is floored at today + 7 days so I never promise you'll be ready tomorrow.
The score is recomputed every time you finish a session, log a mock test, or resolve an error. There is no "refresh" button — open the tab and you're looking at the current truth.
Why your score can drop
Readiness is not a high score. It's a forecast of how you'd perform if the exam were today. Three things lower it:
- Inactivity decay. Skip days and per-domain mastery decays toward your last drilled value. The schedule pill flips to
Slightly behindfirst, thenAt risk, thenOff track. - New errors. A wrong answer on a previously-strong domain pulls that domain's score down and may add a cognitive error.
- Mock test under-performance. A weak mock outweighs several strong practice sessions on purpose — I'd rather you see the truth now than on exam day.
For the full mechanics of decay and recovery, see Readiness and decay.
Reading the schedule pill
The pill answers a different question than the score: given your target exam date, am I on pace?
| Pill | Meaning |
|---|---|
| On track | Predicted ready-date is at or before your target. |
| Slightly behind | You'll make it but margin is thinning. |
| At risk | Predicted ready-date is past your target. I'll start tightening daily tasks. |
| Off track | I'll push you to either reset the date or escalate effort. |
The fastest way to move the gauge is to clear unresolved errors and finish the next milestone — not to grind generic practice. Open the domain map and start with the weakest tile.